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Well...

In the times when John's Revelation was written, man had no idea that
we are flying thru space on a tiny speck of dust, on the outer arm of
a spiral galaxy, in a universe that has uncounted millions of
galaxies.  Further, his prediction of a fiery conflagration as the
last chapter of earth's history will only come true if enough of us
believe the story.  But if it happens, WWIII on earth will be an
indiscernable blip on the energy scope for most of the universe.

Science doesn't know much more than John about the end of the
universe.  We are like travelers who woke up in the middle of a bus
trip to find our bus has busted the guardrail and is airborne.  We're
trying to figure out what happened.  But at least we are not jumping
to conclusions.

Is science uncommon?  It's becoming moreso in these days of religious
fervor.  But it shouldn't be.  People don't know it, but we all use
the scientific method several times a day.  But there's a point at
which people's beliefs get in the way, and the scientific method is
abandoned, in order to avoid the pain of discovery.

I think it is wise to have assumptions, rather than set-in-stone
beliefs.  I try, humbly, to live each day based on the preponderance
of evidence, to put it clumsily.

That's a little of what I think.  What do you think?

Enjoy!
Rick McGirr
Email: [log in to unmask]




----- Original Message -----
From: "Ned Gardner" <[log in to unmask]>
To: <[log in to unmask]>
Sent: Sunday, March 20, 2005 5:46 PM
Subject: Re: Moral certainty


> Rick:
>
> What is scientific about common sense?
>
> By definition it is only common.
>
> Science and religion do agree that the
> end of the "she-bang" will be rather warm.
>
> What do you think?
>
> Ned
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Rick McGirr" <[log in to unmask]>
> To: <[log in to unmask]>
> Sent: Saturday, March 19, 2005 2:13 PM
> Subject: Re: Moral certainty
>
>
> > As a matter of fact, I take great comfort in the fact that my
beliefs
> > are verifiable, and refutable, through the scientific method (also
> > known as common sense).  There is nothing truly permanent in the
> > universe, including the whole she-"bang" itself.  And that is the
true
> > source of humility.
> >
> > Rick
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Ned Gardner" <[log in to unmask]>
> > To: <[log in to unmask]>
> > Sent: Friday, March 18, 2005 1:59 PM
> > Subject: Re: Moral certainty
> >
> >
> >> Ray:
> >>
> >> Reasonable doubt; moral certainty
> >>
> >>
> >>  When one is "beyond doubt" or an issue has been settled "beyond
> > doubt," it
> >> means that certainty has been established to such a degree that
> > there can be
> >> no question whatsoever of the truth. On almost every question,
the
> > only
> >> people who claim to be 100% beyond doubt are gods, egotists, and
> > fanatics.
> >> Mature people generally allow for the possibility, however slim,
> > that what
> >> they Know for Certain may be disproved.
> >>
> >>
> >>
> >> REASONABLE DOUBT -- ".refers to the degree of certainty required
of
> > a juror
> >> before he or she can make a legally valid determination of the
guilt
> > of a
> >> criminal defendant.The term doesn't require that the evidence be
so
> > clear
> >> that no possibility of error exists; it means that the evidence
must
> > be so
> >> conclusive that all reasonable doubts are removed from the mind
of
> > the
> >> ordinary person. See also moral certainty."
> >>
> >> "MORAL CERTAINTY -- certainty beyond a reasonable doubt; a
> > conviction based
> >> on persuasive reasons and excluding doubts that a contrary
> > conclusion can
> >> exit. A juror is said to be morally certain of a fact when he or
she
> > would
> >> act in reliance upon its truth in matters of greatest importance
to
> > himself
> >> or herself."
> >>
> >> "REASONABLE MAN (OR PERSON) -- a phrase used to denote a
> > hypothetical person
> >> who exercises qualities of attention, knowledge, intelligence and
> > judgment
> >> that society requires of its members for the protection of their
own
> >> interests and the interests of others."
> >>
> >> Ned
> >>
> >> From http://www.phrases.org.uk/bulletin_
> >>
> >> ----- Original Message -----
> >> From: "rayilynlee" <[log in to unmask]>
> >> To: <[log in to unmask]>
> >> Sent: Thursday, March 17, 2005 12:11 PM
> >> Subject: Re: Moral certainty
> >>
> >>
> >> > Moral  certainty is the cause  of  wars,  bigotry, intolerance
and
> > much
> >> > suffering.  The person who is  certain  he  is right about as
yet
> >> > unanswerable  questions is a tremendous obstacle to progress.
> > Education
> >> > teaches  you  how much  you don't  know and defines the
> > boundaries of
> >> > your
> >> > knowledge.
> >> >
> >> > My education tells me a cell is a cell and there is  good
reason
> > to call
> >> > it a cell, not a  person.  I need  to hear some good reasons
why
> > a cell
> >> > is
> >> > a  person to change my mind, not ooh  don't  name-call.
> >> >
> >> > Rayilyn Brown, MA  major History. minor Philosophy, UCLA
> >> > ----- Original Message -----
> >> > From: "Ned Gardner" <[log in to unmask]>
> >> > To: <[log in to unmask]>
> >> > Sent: Wednesday, March 16, 2005 7:25 PM
> >> > Subject: Re: Souls in limbo
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >> Don:
> >> >>
> >> >> Moral certainty is always a sign of cultural inferiority. The
> > more
> >> >> uncivilized the man, the surer he is that he knows precisely
what
> > is
> >> >> right
> >> >> and what is wrong. All human progress, even in morals, has
been
> > the work
> >> >> of
> >> >> men who have doubted the current moral values, not of men who
> > have
> >> >> whooped
> >> >> them up and tried to enforce them. The truly civilized man is
> > always
> >> >> skeptical and tolerant.
> >> >> -- H. L. Mencken, Minority Report (1956)
> >> >>
> >> >>
> >> >> Ned
> >> >> ----- Original Message -----
> >> >> From: "Don Mckinley" <[log in to unmask]>
> >> >> To: <[log in to unmask]>
> >> >> Sent: Tuesday, March 15, 2005 2:32 PM
> >> >> Subject: Re: Souls in limbo
> >> >>
> >> >>
> >>
>
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> >>
> >
>
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