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Further explanation of a scientific theory

In common usage a theory is often viewed as little
more than a guess or a hypothesis. But in science and
generally in academic usage, a theory is much more
than that. A theory is an established paradigm that
explains all or much of the data we have and offers
valid predictions that can be tested. In science, a
theory is never considered fact or infallible, because
we can never assume we know all there is to know.
Instead, theories remain standing until they are
disproven, at which point they are thrown out
altogether or modified to fit the additional data.

Theories start out with empirical observations such as
"sometimes water turns into ice." At some point, there
is a need or curiosity to find out why this is, which
leads to a theoretical/scientific phase. In scientific
theories, this then leads to research, in combination
with auxiliary and other hypotheses (see scientific
method), which may then eventually lead to a theory.
Some scientific theories (such as the theory of
gravity) are so widely accepted that they are often
seen as laws. This, however, rests on a mistaken
assumption of what theories and laws are. Theories and
laws are not rungs in a ladder of truth, but different
sets of data. A law is a general statement based on
observations.

Some examples of theories that have been disproved are
Lamarckism and the geocentric theory or model of
Ptolemy. Sufficient evidence has been described to
declare these theories false, as they have no evidence
supporting them and better explanations have taken
their place.
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Characteristics

There is sometimes confusion between the scientific
use of the word theory and its more informal use as a
synonym for "speculation" or "conjecture." In science,
a body of descriptions of knowledge is usually only
called a theory once it has a firm empirical basis,
i.e., it

1. is consistent with pre-existing theory to the
extent that the pre-existing theory was experimentally
verified, though it will often show pre-existing
theory to be wrong in an exact sense,
2. is supported by many strands of evidence rather
than a single foundation, ensuring that it probably is
a good approximation if not totally correct,
3. has survived many critical real world tests that
could have proven it false,
4. makes predictions that might someday be used to
disprove the theory,
5. is tentative, correctable and dynamic, in allowing
for changes to be made as new data is discovered,
rather than asserting certainty, and
6. is the most parsimonious explanation, sparing in
proposed entities or explanations, commonly referred
to as passing Occam's Razor.


This is true of such established theories as special
and general relativity, quantum mechanics, plate
tectonics, evolution, etc. Theories considered
scientific meet at least most, but ideally all, of the
above criteria. The fewer which are matched, the less
scientific it is; those that meet only several or none
at all, cannot be said to be scientific in any
meaningful sense of the word.
(from wikipedia.com) (free encyclopedia, online)



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